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Publications and Data

For most up to date list, including links to articles and citation statistics, please see Matthew Kirwan’s Google Scholar profile. Full text for most articles are available through Research Gate.

Most datasets are available through the Environmental Data Initiative. Additional datasets are archived through figshare and the Coastal Carbon Atlas

*denotes student, technician, or postdoc in our lab, #denotes visiting student or member of dissertation committee.

By year

2021 - 2026

  1. Langley, J.A., Chapman, S.K., …, Kirwan, M.L., et al., 2026. Blue nitrogen follows the fate of tidal wetlands. 2026. Earths Future14, p.e2025EF006747. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF006747.

 

  1. *Molino, G.D., *Chen Y., *Levins, G.C., and Kirwan, M.L., 2026. Sea-level driven land conversion amplified by coastal agriculture. Nature Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-026-01835-6.

 

  1. Ding, J., McDowell, N.G., Conroy, N., Day, D.J., Fang, Y., Kemner, K., Kirwan, M.L., Kovach, M., Megonigal, J.P., Morris, K.A., O’Meara, T., Pennington, S.C., Bittencourt, R., Thornton, P.E., Weintraub, M.N., Regier, P., Sandoval, L., Machado da Silva, F., Stearns, A., Ward, N.D., Wilson, S., and Bailey, V., 2026. Investigating coastal vegetation dynamics and ecosystem impacts under elevated CO₂ and temperature: A process-based approach. Journal of Geophysical Research- Biogeosciences 131, e2025JG009305. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JG009305.

 

  1. *He, K., and Kirwan, M.L., 2026. Limited impacts of storms on mid-Atlantic coastal forests. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 380, 11094. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2026.111094.

 

  1. Noori, A., Nordio, G., Pratt, D., *Messerschmidt, T., Fettrow, S., Seyfferth, A.L., Kirwan, M., Michael, H.A., and Fagherazzi, S., 2026. Seasonal hydrology at the salt marsh-upland interface. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 131, e2025JG009297. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JG009297.

 

  1. Fettrow, S., Montgomery, A., Pratt, D., Michael, H., Kirwan, M., and Seyfferth, A.L., 2026. Marsh Migration into Forests and Farms: Effects on Soil Biogeochemistry Along the Salinity Gradients. Journal of Geophysical Research- Biogeosciences 131, e2025JG009149. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025JG009149.

 

  1. Huyzentruyt, M., Wens, M., Fivash, G.S., Walters, D.C., Bouillon, S., Carr, J.A., Guntenspergen, G.R., Kirwan, M.L., and Temmerman, S., 2026. Carbon sequestration along a gradient of tidal marsh degradation in response to sea level rise. Biogeosciences 23, 851-865. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-851-2026.

 

  1. Huyzentruyt, M., Schepers, L., Kirwan, M.L., Guntenspergen, G.R., and Temmerman, S. 2026. Sea level rise in a coastal marsh: linking increasing tidal inundation, decreasing soil strength and increasing pond expansion. Biogeosciences 23, 751–766. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-751-2026.

 

  1. *Barksdale, M.B., *Valentine, K., Hein, C.J., and Kirwan, M.L., 2025. Tradeoffs Between Vertical and Lateral Resilience in a Salt Marsh Restoration Model. Journal of Geophysical Research- Biogeosciences 130, e2025JG009145. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JG009145.

 

  1. *Wittyngham, S.S., Peck, E.K., *Smith, A.J., Guilderson, T.P., Woodruff, J.D., and Kirwan, M.L., 2025. Current methods overestimate coastal blue carbon potential. Limnology and Oceanography Letters. https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.70077.

 

  1. Ding, J., McDowell, N., Bailey, V., Conroy, N., Day, D. J., Fang, Y., Kemner, K. M., Kirwan, M. L., Koven, C. D., Kovach, M., Megonigal, P., Morris, K. A., O'Meara, T., Pennington, S. C., Peixoto, R. B., Thornton, P., Weintraub, M., Regier, P., Sandoval, L., Machado-Silva, F., Stearns, A., Ward, N., and Wilson, S. J., 2025. Modeling the mechanisms of coastal vegetation dynamics and ecosystem responses to changing water levels, Biogeosciences 22, 6963–6978, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-6963-2025.

 

  1. *Messerschmidt, T.C., Gedan, K.B., and Kirwan, M.L., 2025. Drivers of elevation change in a retreating coastal forest. Estuaries and Coasts 49, 27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-025-01624-y

 

  1. *Bruns, N.E., Noyce, G.L., and Kirwan, M.L., 2025. The role of geomorphology in mediating biomass allocation impacts on salt-marsh resilience and carbon accumulation. Estuarine, Coastal, and Shelf Science. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2025.109549.

 

  1. *Molino, G.D., and Kirwan, M.L., 2025. Implications of waterfowl impoundments as a response to sea-level driven saltwater intrusion. Journal of Environmental Management 394, 127567. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.127567.

 

  1. Wang, J., Chen, X., Wang, Y., Chen, Y., Wu, H., *Wittyngham, S.S., Kirwan, M.L., Zhang, Y., Liu, W., and Zhang, Y., 2025. Life-history plasticity of intertidal salt marsh in response to sea level rise: Salinity and inundation modulate size-dependent flowering of Spartina alterniflora. Ecological Indicators 177, 113790. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113790.

 

  1. Zhu, X., Qin, Z., Liu, W., Kirwan, M.L., Lu, H., Lee, S.Y., Dai1, M., 2025.

Coastal restoration may not necessarily enhance blue carbon sink. Geophysical Research Letters 52, e2025GL114614. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL114614.

 

  1. *Langston, A.K., *Smith, A.J., Gedan, K.B., and Kirwan, M.L., 2025. Ecosystem structure and salinity thresholds in retreating coastal forests along the Mid-Atlantic, USA. Climatic Change178. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-025-03948-x.

 

  1. *Valentine, K.C. and Kirwan, M.L., 2025. Mudflat Biostabilization alters Coastal Landscape Sediment Connectivity. Journal of Geophysical Research- Biogeosciences 130, e2024JG008500. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JG008500.

 

  1. Fagherazzi, S., Nordio, G., Boaga, J., Cassiani, G., Michael, H.A., Pratt, D., *Messerschmidt, T.C., Kirwan, M.L., Stotts, S. 2025. The ecohydrology of coastal ghost forests. Ecohydrology 18, e70020. https://doi.org/10.1002/eco.70020.

 

  1. Myers-Pigg, A., Moanga, D., Bond-Lamberty, B., Ward, N., Megonigal, J. P., White, E., Bailey, V., and Kirwan, M., 2025. Advancing the understanding of coastal disturbances with a network-of-networks approach. Ecosphere 16: e70156. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.70156.

 

  1. Kirwan, M.L., Michael, H.A., Gedan, K.B., Tully, K.L., Fagherazzi, S., McDowell, N.G., *Molino, G.D., Pratt, D., Reay, W.G., and Stotts, S. 2024. Feedbacks regulating the salinization of coastal landscapes. Annual Reviews of Marine Science 17, 461-484. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-070924-031447.

 

  1. Chen, Y., Wu, F., Wang, Y., Guo, Y., Kirwan, M.L., Liu, W., and Zhang, Y., 2024. Latitudinal trends in the biomass allocation of invasive Spartina alterniflora: Implications for salt marsh adaptation to climate warming. Frontiers in Marine Science 11, p.1510854. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1510854.
  2. *Bruns, N.E., Noyce, G.L., Megonigal, J.P., Kirwan, M.L. 2024. A test of functional balance theory for wetland biomass allocation in a global change experiment. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2024GL110902. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110902.

 

  1. Xiong, B., Han, S., Messerschmidt, T., Kirwan, M.L., Gedan, K., Qi, M., 2024. Early detection of invasive Phragmites australis at the tidal marsh-forest ecotone with airborne LiDAR. Ecological Indicators, 167, p. 112651. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112651.

 

  1. *Wittyngham, S.S., Johnson, D.S., *Chen, Y. and Kirwan, M.L., 2024. A small invertebrate grazer drives saltmarsh carbon storage and recovery. Ecology e4385. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/r/ecy.

 

  1. *Smith, A., Guntenspergen, G., Carr, J., Walters, D., and Kirwan, M., 2024. Microtopographic variation as a potential early indicator of ecosystem state change and vulnerability in salt marshes. Estuaries and Coasts. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-024-01368-1.

 

  1. *Smith, A.J., *Valentine, K., *Small, J.M., Khan, A., Gedan, K., Nordio, G., Fagherazzi, S. and Kirwan, M.L., 2024. Litter decomposition in retreating coastal forests. Estuaries and Coasts 47, 1139–1149. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-024-01358-3

 

  1. Zhang, J., Mao, D., Liu, J., *Chen, Y., Kirwan, M., Sanders, C., Zhou, J., Lu, Z., Qin, G., Huang, X., Yan, H., Jiao, N., Su, J., Wang, F. 2024. Spartina alterniflora invasion benefits blue carbon sequestration in China. Science Bulletin 69, 1991-2000. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2024.04.049 2095-9273.

 

  1. *Chen, Y. and Kirwan, M.L. 2023. Upland forest retreat lags behind sea-level rise in the mid-Atlantic coast. Global Change Biology 30, e17081.  https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17081.

 

  1. *Molino, G.D., Carr, J.A., Ganju, N.K., and Kirwan, M.L. 2023. Biophysical drivers of coastal treeline elevation. Journal of Geophysical Research- Biogeosciences 128, e2023JG007525. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JG007525.

 

  1. *Chen, Y. and Kirwan, M.L. 2024. Rapid greening in mangroves. Nature Ecology & Evolution 8, pages186–187 [commentary on Zhang et al.] https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02247-x.

 

  1. Hein, C.J, and Kirwan, M.L., 2024. Marine transgression in modern times. Annual Reviews of Marine Science. http://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-022123-103802.

 

  1. *Barksdale, M.B., Hein, C.J., and Kirwan, M.L., 2023. Shoreface erosion counters blue carbon accumulation in transgressive barrier-island systems. Nature Communications 14, 8425. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42942-8.

 

  1. *Smith, A.J., McGlathery, K., *Chen, Y., Ewers Lewis, C.J., Doney, S.C., Gedan, K., LaRoche, C.K., Berg, P., Pace, M.L., Zinnert, J.C., and Kirwan, M.L. 2023. Compensatory Mechanisms Absorb Regional Carbon Losses Within a Rapidly Shifting Coastal Mosaic. Ecosystems. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-023-00877-7.

 

  1. Ding, J.Y., McDowell, N., Fang, Y., Ward, N., Kirwan, M., Regier, P., Megonigal, P., Zhang, P., Zhang, H., Wang, W., Li, W., Pennington, S., Wilson, S., Stearns, A., and Bailey, V. 2023. Modelling the mechanisms of conifer mortality under seawater exposure. New Phytologist 239: 1679-1691. https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.19076.

 

  1. Reeves, I.R.B., Moore, L.J., *Valentine, K., Fagherazzi, S., and Kirwan, M.L., 2023. Sediment exchange across coastal barrier landscapes alters ecosystem extents. Geophysical Research Letters. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL103680. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103680.

 

  1. Kirwan, M.L., Noyce, G., *Smith, A.J., Megonigal, J.P., 2023. Geomorphic and ecological constraints on the coastal carbon sink. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00429-6.

 

  1. Ohenhen, L.O., Shirzaei, M., Ojha, C., Kirwan, M.L., 2023. Hidden vulnerability of US Atlantic Coast to sea-level rise due to vertical land motion. Nature Communications 14, 2038. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37853-7.

 

  1. *Valentine, K., *Herbert, E.R., *Walters, D.C., *Chen, Y., *Smith, A.J., and Kirwan, M.L., 2023. Climate-driven tradeoffs between landscape connectivity, ecosystem extent, and the maintenance of the coastal carbon sink. Nature Communications 14, 1137. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36803-7.

 

  1. Nordio, G., Frederiks, R., Hingst, M., Carr, J., Gedan, K., Michael, H., Kirwan, M., Fagherazzi, S., 2023. Frequent and moderate storm surges affect the groundwater of coastal ecosystems. Geophysical Research Letters50, e2022GL100191. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100191.

 

  1. Belliard, J.P., Gourgue, O., Bouillon, S., Govers, G., Kirwan, M.L. and Temmerman, S. 2023. Coastal wetland adaptability to sea level rise: the neglected role of semi-diurnal versus diurnal tides. Limnology and Oceanography Letters 8, 340-349. https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10298.

 

  1. Noyce, G.L., *Smith, A.J., Kirwan, M.L., Rich, R.L., Megonigal, J.P., 2023. Oxygen priming induced by elevated CO2 reduces carbon sequestration in coastal wetlands. Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-01070-6.

 

  1. *Hall, E.A., *Molino, G.D., *Messerschmidt, T.C., Kirwan, M.L., 2022.

Hidden levees: Small-scale flood defense on rural coasts. Anthropocene 40,

100350, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ancene.2022.100350.

 

  1. *Chen, Y. and Kirwan, M.L., 2022. A phenology- and trend-based approach for accurate mapping of sea-level driven coastal forest retreat. Remote Sensing of Environment 281, 113229, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2022.113229.

 

  1. *Chen, Y. and Kirwan, M.L., 2022. Climate-driven decoupling of wetland and upland biomass trends on the mid-Atlantic coast. Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-01041-x.

 

  1. McDowell, N., Ball, M., Bond-Lamberty, B., Kirwan, M.L., Krauss, K., Megonigal, J., Mencuccini, M., Ward, N., Weintraub, M., and Bailey, V., 2022. Processes and mechanisms of coastal woody-plant mortality. Global Change Biology 28, 5881– 5900. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16297.

 

  1. *Molino, G.D., Carr, J.A., Ganju, N.K., and Kirwan, M.L. 2022. Variability in marsh migration potential determined by topographic rather than anthropogenic constraints in the Chesapeake Bay region. Limnology and Oceanography Letters 7: 321-331, https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10262.

 

  1. Zaytseva, S., Shaw, L., Shi, J., Kirwan, M., Lipcius, R. 2022. Pattern formation in marsh ecosystems modeled through the interaction of marsh vegetation, mussels and sediment. Journal of Theoretical Biology 543, 111102,

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111102.

 

  1. *Smith, A.J., Noyce, G.L., Megonigal, J.P., Guntenspergen, G.R., Kirwan, M.L., 2022. Temperature optimum for marsh resilience and carbon accumulation revealed in a whole ecosystem warming experiment. Global Change Biology 28, 3236-3245. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16149.

 

  1. *Coleman, D.J., Schuerch, M., Temmerman, S., Guntenspergen, G., Smith, C.G., and Kirwan, M.L. 2022. Reconciling models and measurements of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise. Limnology and Oceanography Letters 7, 140-149. doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10230.

 

  1. Walters, D., Carr, J.A., Hockaday, A., Jones, J., Mcfarland, E., Kovalenko, K.E., Kirwan, M.L., Cahoon, D., and Guntenspergen, G., 2021. Experimental Tree Mortality Does Not Induce Marsh Transgression in a Chesapeake Bay Low-lying Coastal Forest. Frontiers in Marine Science 8, 782643, doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.782643.

 

  1. *Himmelstein, J., *Duran Vinent, O., Temmerman, S., Kirwan, M.L. 2021. Mechanisms of pond expansion in a rapidly submerging marsh. Frontiers in Marine Science 8:704768, doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.704768.

 

  1. *Smith, A.J. and Kirwan, M.L., 2021. Sea-level Driven Marsh Migration Results in Rapid Net Loss of Carbon. Geophysical Research Letters 48, e2021GL092420. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL092420.

 

  1. *Messerschmidt, T.C., *Langston, A., and Kirwan, M.L. 2021. Asymmetric root distributions reveal press-pulse responses in retreating coastal forests. Ecology 102, e03468.https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3468.

 

  1. *Langston, A., *Coleman, D., *Jung, N., Shawler, J., *Smith, A., Williams, B., Wittyngham, S., Chambers, R., Perry, J., and Kirwan, M. 2021. The effect of marsh age on ecosystem function in a rapidly transgressing marsh. Ecosystems. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-021-00652-6

 

  1. *Gillen, M.N., Messerschmidt, T.C., and Kirwan, M.L., 2021. Biophysical controls of marsh soil shear strength along an estuarine salinity gradient. Earth Surface Dynamics 9, 413-421. https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-9-413-2021.

 

  1. *Rietl, A.J., Megonigal, J.P., *Herbert, E.R., and Kirwan, M.L., 2021. Vegetation Type and Soil Priming Drive Marsh Carbon Accumulation Under Interacting Facets of Global Change. Geophysical Research Letters 48, e2020GL092051. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092051.

 

  1. *Duran Vinent, O., *Herbert, E.R., *Coleman, D.J., *Himmelstein, J.D., and Kirwan, M.L. 2021. Onset of runaway fragmentation of salt marshes. One Earth 4, 506-516. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.02.013.

 

  1. *Herbert, E.R., Windham-Myers, L., and Kirwan, M.L. 2021. Sea level rise enhances carbon accumulation in United States tidal wetlands. One Earth 4, 425-433. doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2021.02.011.

 

  1. *Coleman, D.J., Rogers, K., Corbett, D.R., Owers, C.J., and Kirwan, M.L., 2021. The geomorphic impact of mangrove encroachment in an Australian salt marsh. Estuarine, Coastal, and Shelf Science 251, doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2021.107238.
  2. Wang, C., Schepers, L., Kirwan, M.L., Belluco, E., D'Alpaos, A., Wang, Q., Yin, S., and Temmerman, S. 2021. Different coastal marsh sites reflect similar topographic conditions for bare patches and vegetation recovery. Earth Surface Dynamics 9, 71-88, doi: 10.5194/esurf-9-71-2021.

 

  1. Norwood, M.J., Ward, N.D., McDowell, N.G., Myers-Pigg, A.N., Bond-Lamberty, B., Indivero, J., Pennington, S., Wang, W., Kirwan M., Hopple, A.M., Megonigal, J.P. 2021. Coastal Forest Seawater Exposure Increases Stem Methane Concentration. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 126, e2020JG005915. doi:10.1029/2020JG005915. [EOS Research Spotlight]

 

  1. Christensen, N. … Kirwan, M.L., et al., 2021. Ecosystem-Based Management for Military Training on a Complex Coastal Land/Water-scape. Journal of Environmental Management 280, 111755, doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111755.

 

  1. *Langston, A.K., Alexander, C.R., Alber, M., and Kirwan, M.L., 2021. Beyond 2100: elevation capital disguises salt marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise in Georgia, USA. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 249, 107093, doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2020.107093.

 

  1. Wang, F., Sanders, C.J., Santos, I.R., Tang, J., Schurech, M., Kirwan, M.L., Kopp, R.E., Zhu, K., Li, Ziuzhen, Yuan, J., Liu, W., and Li, Z., 2021. Global blue carbon accumulation in tidal wetlands increases with climate change. National Science Review, nwaa296. doi:10.1093/nsr/nwaa296.

2015 - 2020 

  1. #Braswell, A.E., Heffernan, J.B., and Kirwan, M.L. 2020. How old are marshes on the East Coast, USA? Complex patterns in wetland age within and among regions. Geophysical Research Letters 47, e2020GL089415, doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089415.

 

  1. #Schepers, L., Brennand, P., Kirwan, M., Guntenspergen, G. and Temmerman, S. 2020. Coastal marsh degradation into ponds induces irreversible elevation loss relative to sea level in a microtidal system. Geophysical Research Letters 47, e2020GL089121, doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089121

 

  1. Carr, J., Kirwan, M., and Guntenspergen, G. 2020. Modelling marsh-forest boundary transgression in response to storms and sea-level rise. Geophysical Research Letters 47, e2020GL088998, doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088998.

 

  1. *Coleman, D.C., Ganju, N.K., and Kirwan, M.L. 2020. Sediment delivery to marsh platforms minimized by source decoupling and flux convergence. Journal of Geophysical Research- Earth Surface 125, e2020JF005558, doi.org/10.1029/2020JF005558.

 

  1. Yang, S.L., Luo, X.X., Temmerman, S., Kirwan, M., Bouma, T.J., Xu, K., Zhang, S., Fan, J., Shi, B.W., Yang, H.F., Wang, Y.P., Gao, S. 2020. Delta erosion temporarily prolongs marsh persistence under sea-level rise and fluvial sediment decline. Limnology and Oceanography 65, 1990-2009. doi.org/10.1002/lno.11432.

 

  1. #Schepers, L., Kirwan, M., Guntenspergen, G. and Temmerman, S. 2020. Evaluating indicators of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise along a historical marsh loss gradient. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 45: 2107–2117. doi.org/10.1002/esp.4869.

 

  1. *Langston, A.K., *Duran Vinent, O., *Herbert, E., and Kirwan, M.L. 2020. Modeling long-term salt marsh response to sea level rise in the sediment-deficient Plum Island Estuary, MA. Limnology and Oceanography 65, 1399-1409. doi.org/10.1002/lno.11444.

 

  1. Wiberg, P.L., Fagherazzi, S., and Kirwan, M.L. 2020. Improving predictions

of salt marsh evolution through better integration of data and models. Annual Review of Marine Science 12, 389-413. doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-010419-010610.

 

  1. Liu, W., Chen, X., Strong, D.R., Pennings, S.C., Kirwan, M.L., Chen, X., and Zhang, Y., 2020. Climate and geographic adaptation drive latitudinal clines in biomass of a widespread saltmarsh plant in its native and introduced ranges. Limnology and Oceanography 65, 1399-1409. doi:10.1002/lno.11395.

 

  1. Reeves, I., Moore, L.J., Goldstein, E., Murray, A.B., Carr, J., and Kirwan, M. 2020. Impacts of Seagrass Dynamics on the Coupled Long-Term Evolution of Barrier-Marsh-Bay Systems. J. Geophysical Research Biogeosciences 125, e2019JG005416, doi.org/10.1029/2019JG005416.

 

  1. Noyce, G.L., Kirwan, M.L., Rich, R.L., and Megonigal, J.P., 2019. Asynchronous nitrogen supply and demand produce non-linear plant allocation responses to warming and elevated CO2. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116, 21623-21628, doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1904990116.

 

  1. *Duran, O., Johnston, R.J., Kirwan, M.L., Leroux, A.D., and Martin, V.L., 2019. Coastal Dynamics and Adaptation to Uncertain Sea Level Rise: Optimal Portfolios for Salt Marsh Migration. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 98, doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2019.102262.

 

  1. *Schieder, N.W. and Kirwan, M.L., 2019. Sea-level driven acceleration in coastal forest retreat. Geology 47, 1151–1155, doi.org/10.1130/G46607.1. [featured in TIME Magazine; The Scientist cover].

 

  1. Lu, M., *Herbert, E.R., Langley, J.A., Kirwan, M.L., and Megonigal, J.P., 2019. Nutrient status regulates morphological adaptation of marsh plants to elevated CO2. Nature Climate Change 9, 764-768. doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0582-x.

 

  1. Silliman, B.R., He, Q., Angelini, C., Smith, C.S., Kirwan, M.L., Daleo, P., Renzi, J.J., Butler, J., Osborne, T.Z., Nifong, J.C., and van de Koppel, J. and Field, 2019. Experiments and Meta-analysis Reveal Wetland Vegetation as a Crucial Element in the Coastal Protection Paradigm. Current Biology 29, 1800-1806.e3, doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2019.05.017.

 

  1. Kirwan, M.L., and Gedan, K.B., 2019. Sea-level driven land conversion and the formation of ghost forests. Nature Climate Change 9, 450–457. [featured on NCC cover; New York Times, Popular Science, Gloucester Mathews Gazette Journal, The Virginia Gazette; Chesapeake Science Quarterly]

 

  1. Megonigal, J.P., Chapman, S., Langley, A., Crooks, S., Dijkstra, P., Kirwan, M., 2019. Coastal wetland responses to warming. In: Windham-Myers, L., Crooks, S., and Troxler, T.G: A Blue Carbon Primer: The State of Coastal Wetland Carbon Science, Practice, and Policy. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group. pp. 133-144.

 

  1. *Coleman, D.J. and Kirwan, M.L. 2019. The effect of a small vegetation dieback event on salt marsh sediment transport. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 44, 944-952. DOI: 10.1002/esp.4547.

 

  1. *Duvall, M.S., Wiberg, P.L., and Kirwan, M.L., 2019. Controls on sediment flux and marsh deposition near a bay-marsh boundary. Estuaries and Coasts 42, 403-424.

 

  1. Schuerch, M., Spencer, T., Temmerman, S., Kirwan, M.L., Wolff, C., Lincke, D., McOwen, C.J., Pickering, M.D., Reef, R., Vafeidis, A.T., Hinkel, J., Nicholls, R.J., and Brown, S. 2018. Future response of global coastal wetlands to sea-level rise. Nature 561, 231–234. doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0476-5

 

  1. Horton, B.P., Shennan, I., Bradley, S., Cahill, N., Kirwan M., Kopp, R.E., and Shaw, T. 2018. Predicting marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise using Holocene relative sea-level data. Nature Communications 9, 2687, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05080-0.

 

  1. Lauzon, R., Murray, A.B., Moore, L.J., *Walters, D.C., Kirwan, M.L., and

Fagherazzi, S. 2018. Effects of marsh edge erosion in coupled barrier island-marsh systems and geometric constrains on marsh evolution. Journal of Geophysical Research- Earth Surface 123, 1218-1234.

 

  1. Moore L.J., Goldstein, E.B., Duran Vinent, O., *Walters, D., Kirwan, M., Lauzon, R., Murray, A.B., and Ruggiero, P. 2018. The Role of Ecomorphodynamic Feedbacks and Landscape Couplings in Influencing the Response of Barriers to Changing Climate. In: Moore L., Murray A. (eds) Barrier Dynamics and Response to Changing Climate. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68086-6_10

 

  1. *Schieder, N.W., *Walters, D.C., and Kirwan, M.L., 2018. Massive upland to

wetland conversion compensated for historical marsh loss in Chesapeake Bay, USA. Estuaries and Coasts 41, 940-951. (Associated Press article in >100 newspapers globally, highlighted in CESN newsletter to coastal managers, most VIMS media mentions in 2017).

 

  1. Kirwan, M.L., Temmerman, S., Guntenspergen, G., and Fagherazzi, S., 2017. Reply to ‘Marsh vulnerability to sea level rise.’ Nature Climate Change 7, 756-757.

 

  1. van Belzen, J., van de Koppel, J., Kirwan, M.L., van der Wal, D., Herman, P.M.J., Dakos, V., Kefi, S., Scheffer, M., Guntenspergen, G.R., and Bouma, T.J., 2017. Direct evidence for critical slowing down when approaching tipping points in tidal marshes. Nature Communications 8, 15811, 1-7, doi:10.1038/ncomms15811.

 

  1. Krauss, K., Cormier, N., Osland, M.J., Kirwan, M.L., Stagg, C.L., Nestlerode, J.A., Russell, M.J., From, A.S., Spivak, A.C., Dantin, D.D., Harvey, J.E., and Almario, A.E., 2017. Created mangrove wetlands store belowground carbon and surface elevation change enables them to adjust to sea-level rise. Scientific Reports 7, 1030, 1-11, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-01224-2.

 

  1. Ganju, N.K., Defne, Z., Kirwan, M.L., Fagherazzi, S., D’Alpaos, A., Carniello, L. 2017. Spatially integrative metrics reveal hidden vulnerability of salt marshes. Nature Communications 8, 1-7, doi: 10.1038/ncomms14156. (featured on Daily press cover, Boston Globe)

 

  1. *Deaton, C.D., Hein, C.J., and Kirwan, M.L. 2017. Barrier island migration dominates ecogeomorphic feedbacks and drives salt marsh loss along the Virginia Atlantic Coast, USA. Geology 42, 123-126. (featured on Daily Press cover, WINA and WVTF radio programs).

 

  1. #Schepers, L., Kirwan, M., Guntenspergen, G., and Temmerman, S. 2017. Spatio-temporal development of vegetation die-off in a submerging coastal marsh. Limnology and Oceanography 62, 137-150. doi:10.1002/lno.10381.

 

  1. Kirwan, M.L., *Walters, D.C., Reay, W., and Carr, J.A. 2016. Sea level driven marsh expansion in a coupled model of marsh erosion and migration. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 4366-4373 (featured on The Weather Channel, Climate Central, Daily Press cover, Hakai Magazine, and WHYY radio).

 

  1. Kirwan, M.L., Temmerman, S., Skeehan, E., Guntenspergen, G., and Fagherazzi, S. 2016. Overestimation of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise. Nature Climate Change 6, 253-260. (featured on NCC cover, Climate Central, and Daily Press).

 

  1. *Walters, D.C. and Kirwan, M.L. 2016. Optimal hurricane overwash thickness for maximizing marsh resilience to sea level rise. Ecology and Evolution 6, 2948-2956. doi:10.1002/ece3.2024.

 

  1. Ganju, N., Kirwan, M.L., Dickhudt, P., Guntenspergen, G., Cahoon, D., Kroeger, K., 2015. Towards sediment-based metrics of wetland stability. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 7992-8000. 

 

  1. Temmerman, S. and Kirwan, M.L., 2015. Building land with a rising sea.Science349, 588-589. (articles in The Guardian, El Pais, and Le Soir newspapers, and appeared on Belgian national television)

 

  1. Kirwan, M.L. and Guntenspergen, G.R., 2015. Response of Plant Productivity to Experimental Flooding in a Stable and a Submerging Marsh.Ecosystems18, 903-913. (referenced in The Baltimore Sun)

 

  1. Kirwan, ML, Guntenspergen, GR, and Langley, JA, 2014. Temperature sensitivity of organic-matter decay in tidal marshes. Biogeosciences11, 4801-4808. 

 

  1. Ganju, N.K., Nidzieko, N.J., and Kirwan, M.L. 2013. Inferring tidal wetland stability from channel sediment fluxes: observations and a conceptual model. Journal of Geophysical Research- Earth Surface 118, 2045-2058.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Megonigal, JP, 2013. Tidal wetland stability in the face of human activity and sea level rise. Nature 504, 53-60.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML, Langley, J.A., Guntenspergen, G.R., and Megonigal, J.P. 2013. The impact of sea-level rise on organic matter decay rates in Chesapeake Bay brackish tidal marshes. Biogeosciences 10, 1869-1876.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Mudd, SM. 2012. Response of salt-marsh carbon accumulation to climate change. Nature 489, 550-553.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Murray, AB. 2012. Rapid wetland expansion during

European settlement and its implication for marsh survival under modern sediment delivery rates: REPLY. Geology, v. 40; p. e286.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Guntenspergen, GR. 2012. Feedbacks between inundation, root production, and shoot growth in a rapidly submerging brackish marsh. Journal of Ecology, 100, 764-770.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML, Christian, RR, Blum, LK, and Brinson, MM. 2012. On the relationship between sea level and Spartina alterniflora production. Ecosystems, 15, 140-147.

 

  1. Fagherazzi, S, Kirwan, ML, Mudd, SM, Guntenspergen, GR, Temmerman, S, D’Alpaos, A, van de Koppel, J, Craft, C, Rybczyk, J, Reyes, E, Clough, J. 2012. Numerical models of salt marsh evolution: ecological, geomorphic, and climatic factors. Reviews of Geophysics, doi:10.1029/2011RG000359.

 

  1. Mozdzer, TJ, Kirwan, M, McGlathery, KJ, and Zieman, JC, 2011. Nitrogen uptake by the shoots of smooth cordgrass Spartina alterniflora. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 433, p. 43-52, doi:10.3354/meps09117.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Blum, LK., 2011. Enhanced decomposition offsets enhanced productivity and soil carbon accumulation in coastal wetlands responding to climate change. Biogeosciences, v. 8, p. p. 987-993, doi:10.5194/bg-8-987-2011.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML, Murray, AB, Donnelly, JP, and Corbett, DR, 2011. Rapid wetland expansion during European settlement and its implication for marsh survival under modern sediment delivery rates. Geology, v. 39; p. 507–510, doi:10.1130/G31789.1. (ScienceNOW feature; Earth Magazine; New Scientist Magazine)

 

  1. Gedan, KB, Kirwan ML, Wolanski, E, Barbier, EB, and Silliman, BR, 2011. The present and future role of coastal wetland vegetation in protecting shorelines: Answering recent challenges to the paradigm. Climatic Change, v. 106, p. 7–29, doi:10.1007/s10584-010-0003-7.

2010 - 2014

  1. Kirwan, ML, Guntenspergen, GR, D’Alpaos, A, Morris, JT, Mudd, SM, and Temmerman, S, 2010. Limits on the adaptability of coastal marshes to rising sea level. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L23401, doi:10.1029/2010GL045489. (EOS and Nature Climate Change Research Spotlight, cited by Faculty of 1000)

 

  1. Kolker, AS, Kirwan, ML, Goodbred, SL, and Cochran, JK, 2010. Global climate changes recorded in coastal wetland sediments: empirical observation linked to theoretical predictions. Geophysical Research Letters v. 37, L14706, doi:10.1029/2010GL043874.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Guntenspergen, GR, 2010. Modeling the influence of tidal range on the stability of coastal marshland. Journal of Geophysical Research- Earth Surface, 115, F02009, doi:10.1029/2009JF001400.

2005 - 2009

  1. Kirwan, M and Temmerman, S, 2009. Coastal marsh response to historical and future sea level acceleration. Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 28, p. 1801-1808, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.02.022.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML, Guntenspergen, GR, and Morris, JT, 2009. Latitudinal gradients in Spartina alterniflora productivity and the response of coastal marshes to global change. Global Change Biology, v. 15, p. 1982-1989, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01834.x (cover article)

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Guntenspergen, GR., 2009. Accelerated sea-level rise – a response to Craft et al.. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, v. 7, p. 126-127. doi: 10.1890/09.WB.005

 

  1. Murray, AB, Knaapen, MAF, Tal, M, and Kirwan, ML, 2008. Biomorphodynamics: Physical-biological feedbacks that shape landscapes. Water Resources Research, 44, W11301, doi:10.1029/2007WR006410.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Murray, AB, 2008. Tidal marshes as disequilibrium landscapes? Lags between morphology and Holocene sea level change. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L24401 doi:10.1029/2008GL036050.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML, Murray, AB, and Boyd, WS, 2008, Temporary vegetation disturbance as an explanation for permanent loss of tidal wetlands. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L05403, doi:10.1029/2007GL032681.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Murray, AB, 2008. Ecological and morphological response of brackish tidal marshland to the next century of sea level rise: Westham Island, British Columbia, Global and Planetary Change, 60, 471-486.

 

  1. Kirwan, ML and Murray, AB, 2007. A coupled geomorphic and ecological model of tidal marsh evolution. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, v. 104, p. 6118-6122, doi:10.1073/pnas.0700958104. (cited by Faculty of 1000 as ‘Must Read’)

 

  1. Hancock, G and Kirwan, M, 2007. Summit erosion rates deduced from 10Be: Implications for relief production in the Central Appalachians. Geology, v.35, pp. 89-92. (GSA Today, Geotimes research highlights)

 

  1. Kirwan, ML, Kirwan JL, and Copenheaver CA. 2007. Dynamics of an estuarine forest and its response to rising sea level. Journal of Coastal Research, v.23, pp. 457-463.

 

  1. Kirwan, JL, Williams, ME, and Kirwan, ML. 2005. Restoring the Chesapeake- a watershed education and restoration project for Virginia youth. Journal of Extension, 43, Article 6RIB7.