Probability of Survival

Surface Salinity Chesapeake Bay Salinity

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Drag the slider to compare survival probabilities over 72 hours for a medium-size blue catfish (224 millimeters or 8 inches) in the Chesapeake Bay based on salinities during a dry spring (left panel) and a wet spring (right panel). The number following the title in each panel denotes the percent area of the Bay where predicted probability of survival for blue catfish exceeds 80%. Note that the survival probability is nearly 100% in the Chesapeake and Delaware Canal under either scenario.

Read about the study from which these figures were generated.